Arizona St
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 80.6408Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H No Arizona 38-19 906 A Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 20-24 913 H Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 34-15 920 A Baylor B12 ( 4- 8, 73.4) 27-24 926 H TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 27-24 1011 A Utah B12 (11- 2, 90.0) 10-42 1018 H Texas Tech B12 (12- 2, 96.3) 26-22 1025 H Houston B12 (10- 3, 80.5) 16-24 1101 A Iowa St B12 ( 7- 4, 81.0) 24-19 1115 H We Virginia B12 ( 4- 8, 77.4) 25-23 1122 A Colorado B12 ( 3- 9, 74.6) 42-17 1128 H Arizona B12 ( 9- 3, 84.6) 7-23 1231 N Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 39-42
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Miss St 20-24 -4 -1 - -2.58
913 H Texas State 34-15 19 14 0.00
920 A Baylor 27-24 3 2 0.97
926 H TCU 27-24 3 2 1.07
1011 A Utah 10-42 -32 -15 0.00
1018 H Texas Tech 26-22 4 -10 +++ 14.43
1025 H Houston 16-24 -8 5 --- -13.45
1101 A Iowa St 24-19 5 -6 +++ 10.60
1115 H We Virginia 25-23 2 8 --- -6.47
1122 A Colorado 42-17 25 1 +++ 13.18
1128 H Arizona 7-23 -16 1 --- -15.27
1231 N Duke 39-42 -3 -1 - -2.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Houston 16-24 -8 5 --- -13.45 1115 H We Virginia 25-23 2 8 --- -6.47 1128 H Arizona 7-23 -16 1 --- -15.27 906 A Miss St 20-24 -4 -1 - -2.58 1231 N Duke 39-42 -3 -1 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Texas Tech 26-22 4 -10 +++ 14.43 1101 A Iowa St 24-19 5 -6 +++ 10.60 1122 A Colorado 42-17 25 1 +++ 13.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 20-24 -23.10 28.12 5.26 1.06 -9.48
3 H Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 34-15 -28.44 22.78 -5.26 1.06 37.24
3 A Baylor ( 4- 8, 73.4) 27-24 -26.55 24.67 5.26 1.06 63.61
3 H TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 27-24 -15.93 35.29 -5.26 1.06 63.81
3 A Utah (11- 2, 90.0) 10-42 -9.86 41.36 5.26 1.06 -2.44
3 H Texas Tech (12- 2, 96.3) 26-22 -3.57 47.65 -5.26 1.06 90.07
3 H Houston (10- 3, 80.5) 16-24 -19.45 31.77 -5.26 1.06 -13.12
3 A Iowa St ( 7- 4, 81.0) 24-19 -18.92 32.30 5.26 1.06 79.82
3 H We Virginia ( 4- 8, 77.4) 25-23 -22.47 28.75 -5.26 1.06 49.92
3 A Colorado ( 3- 9, 74.6) 42-17 -25.34 25.88 5.26 1.06 66.18
3 H Arizona ( 9- 3, 84.6) 7-23 -15.27 35.95 -5.26 1.06 -10.91
3 N Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 39-42 -18.74 32.48 -0.00 1.06 -9.96
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404.74
|
winning pts = 450.6475 losing points = -45.9098
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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